Iran And The Escalation Ladder

The challenge of neutering ‘Israel’ without getting nuked

indi.ca
9 min readOct 7, 2024
The escalation ladder between India and Pakistan. The pyramid should really be inverted. And a ladder.

Read me directly at www.indi.ca, Medium sucks.

Iran has to proceed very carefully up the escalation ladder because there’s nukes at the top of it. ‘Israel’ has completely illegal nukes and a complete disregard for international law, so it won’t hesitate to nuke Tehran. America doesn’t give a shit, they’ve been singing ‘Bomb Iran’ since the 80s. ‘Israel’ has already dropped four Hiroshimas worth of American bombs on Gaza, what’s one more?

This is the strategic calculus Iran has to balance. They have to deter the entity without detonating a nuke, which is delicate work indeed.

The Escalation Ladder

Iran’s non-nuclear deterrence involves scaling something called an escalation ladder, which I will let Ibn Riad explain at length:

The Resistance Axis have been very gradually escalating operations in the region. But even gradual escalation builds up over time, and this is central to the doctrine of the Escalation Ladder by which they are pressuring the US-Zionist aggression. As discussed prior, this pressure takes away the one element that the US-Zionist aggression was banking on for their war against Gaza’s resistance: time. They will not be allowed a gradual

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indi.ca
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Indrajit (Indi) Samarajiva is a Sri Lankan writer. Follow me at www.indi.ca, or just email me at indi@indi.ca.